Something I've been pondering, and I'm a bit concerned.  As worthless as the GOP in Congress is, they're very slightly better than the Democrats, and there are a number of them who actually are decent.  What I'm worried about more than anything is the GOP getting stomped downticket in the fall in a big enough way that we lose the filibuster.  That's the nightmare scenario.

What has me worried is the potential for conservatives who are pissed off and hate McCain to stay home if it looks like he'll lose this fall.  While many would go to the polls to vote downticket, many may stay home.  I still think that if its Obama, McCain has this won, simply because Obama 's Marxism will be too repulsing for voters, if I'm wrong, we may have serious problems on our hands, here's what has me worried. 

We saw how the media predicted Kerry would win in 2004, if its close, all media exit polls always favor Democrats, and they were in fairly aggressive propaganda mode to begin with.  However, GOP voters were motivated in 2004, Bush hadn't completely pissed off the base yet, and GOP voters went to polls despite media propagandizing that we'd lose.  We're all now familiar with the Republican Polling Penalty, we were motivated, we won.  Huzzah.

2008 is a different animal.  My concern is that if conservatives think the GOP is going to lose, they'll just stay home, as a "screw you!" sendoff to McCain and the RINOs, and we'll see a Democrat deluge.  That conservatives will only support the GOP in November if they can win.  I think if its a close race, media is going to have a much bigger impact on morale and GOP voter turnout than it did in 2004.  Conservatives hate the GOP right now, hate McCain, and are only going to do the bare minimum to keep the Democrats at bay, and are looking for any opportunity to send a message to the GOP leadership.

Unfortunately, McCain is doing his absolute damnedest to help that potential scenario along by pissing on conservatives yet again, and giving them yet one more reason to walk away in November.  This is part of why I cringe now every time McCain insists on doing these things, I see a potential disaster in the making, and doing things like meeting with shady groups like La Raza only makes it that much more likely. 

It would be foolish to blame conservatives if this were to happen, McCain and the GOP know that you can only abuse your supporters and take them for granted for so long before they abandon you or start looking for opportunities to abandon you.  I think McCain is going to be banking on the inability of the left to challenge him in the fall.  My prediction, McCain will walk to first base or be the third strikeout with bases loaded.

Posted by: doubleplusundead at 03:11 PM | Comments (10) | Add Comment
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