Random thoughts on the Chevy Volt
As I'm reading things about the $40K rolling abortions, I can't imagine it's gonna do well with consumers, even hippies, because hippies already own Priuses, Chevys are American anyway, so they have no appeal to liberals to begin with. I see one of two things coming down the pike, either regulatory schemes come down to try and force people to buy them, more gov't rebates, tax breaks and incentives to buy them, or this rolling hunk of crap is gonna become the car of government institutions. My gut tells me that we're gonna see a loooooot of Chevy Volts sitting in municipal and state parking lots.
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If I made married into as much money as John Kerry, I'd buy one and set it on fire.
Posted by: tangonine at July 31, 2010 02:05 PM (C8Pcc)
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A few years ago, there was a thing about an electric boat and a bunch of environmentalists were raving about it.
A local radio host said "YEAH! an electric boat is GREAT!, GREAT for the environment, it's not like we are burning all kinds of coal to produce the electricity or driving cars that burn oil or able to reliably count on the batteries in case something happens while out on the lake, but other than that? GREAT IDEA!"
It was a pretty funny riff, demonstrating the blatant hypocracy of enviro's, because electricity actually causes MORE of the polution enviro's hate than gasoline, but who cares, there is a cutout so the get to feel good.
Posted by: Douglas at July 31, 2010 02:44 PM (uU+Ss)
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Chevys are American anyway, so they have no appeal to liberals to begin with.I hadn't thought of it that way, but you're probably right. The thing that gets me about this car is that it isn't an electric car. Its a hybrid. It apparently gets 40 miles on batteries only, then uses a gasoline engine. Wouldn't surprise me if any modern hybrid could make 40 miles on batteries alone.
40 miles ... in daytime, no rain, don't use the a/c don't even turn on the radio.
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Ford Edsel, AMC Pacer, Chevy Volt. Proof that the theory of evolution is correct.
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Aside from the stupidity of this car, I don't see anyone talking about the price. Even with the big tax incentive they give, this car is way out of my price range. Couldn't afford one even if I wanted one of these pieces of crap.
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One of the memes of those who advocate a rapid withdrawal from Afghanistan is that historically the Afghans have never been conquered; that Afghanistan is “the graveyard of empires”. I have argued against this view in the comments sections of other blogs as well as here, most recently last year when Ralph Peters once again called for us to withdraw. Once again I must be a trend setter because now almost a year later Foreign Policy magazine has published an article entitled, “Bury the Graveyard” which advances the idea that the graveyard of empires meme is hurting our progress in Afghanistan:
The Victorian British and the Soviet Union, the story goes, were part of a long historical continuum of arrogant conquerors that met their match in the country's xenophobic, fanatical, trigger-happy tribesmen. Given a record like that, it's obvious that the effort by the United States and its NATO allies to stabilize the shaky government in Kabul is doomed to fail.
Look, failure is always a possible outcome, especially judging by the way things have been going lately. But if the United States and its allies end up messing up their part of the equation, blame it on their bad policy decisions. Don't blame it on a super simplified version of Afghanistan's history -- especially if you prefer to overlook the details.
…
One of those myths, for example, is that Afghanistan is inherently unconquerable thanks to the fierceness of its inhabitants and the formidable nature of its terrain. But this isn't at all borne out by the history. "Until 1840 Afghanistan was better known as a 'highway of conquest' rather than the 'graveyard of empires,'" Barfield points out. "For 2,500 years it was always part of somebody's empire, beginning with the Persian Empire in the fifth century B.C."
…
Unfortunately, popular views of the place today are shaped by the past 30 years of seemingly unceasing warfare rather than substantive knowledge of the country's history.
So, what does this mean as far as the current war in Afghanistan go? Well in practical terms probably not much. The COIN strategy that GEN Petraeus is likely to pursue is inherently based on the idea that a stable government (or more accurately a stable enough government) can be established. All that an acceptance of this view of history can really accomplish in the current fight is to foster an acceptance, among the political class, that it actually can be won, and I stick by that assertion. From the article:
I made my first visit to Afghanistan that same year (ed. 2001). The Afghans I met were neither xenophobic nor bellicose. What they wanted most of all was peace, and they didn't trust their own leaders to bring it. "We're sick of fighting. We hate war. We want to have a free election," one grizzled -- and illiterate -- warrior told me. "And let's have the United Nations come in and make sure it's fair, so the warlords don't interfere." I heard similar views from many Afghans.
Really the fight is ours to lose, but given the attitudes currently in existence in D.C. I think that we are well on our way to that outcome.
The president is following the Weather Underground plan from '68, to weaken and overload the military with multiple long-term conflicts while preventing any actual victory. (A Cloward-Piven approach.) So long as Rolling Stone Magazine chooses our commanders and a commited communist sets our rules of engagement we cannot win in Afghanistan. But you are correct: it will not be the tribes and terrain that defeat us.
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We forget, we all forget, how huge and amazing and miraculous the world is. I am grateful for my life, I truly am.
Keep your chin up. It will get a little easier, by fits and starts, as time goes by (my experience anyway).
You might also remember: The only way for the goodness and humanity of those that have died to succeed is for us left behind to carry in our hearts the precious memories of their loved ones. Also, it's OK to cry and cuss.
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A question for the law talking guys
Does anyone besides me find it a little unsettling that the judge is taking so long to hand down a ruling on the SB 1070 injunction? It seems like if she was going to deny the injunction she would have had a decision on Friday or this morning. The fact that she hasn't released one makes me think she is really digging for precedent to justify the injunction.
Now some words of wisdom from Lionel Hutz (Your case won in 30 minutes or your pizza is free)
2
Well with my legal education gleaned from law and order I have no idea what that meant, but it seems she is cutting it a little fine when the law takes effect in 2.5 more days.
Posted by: chad98036 at July 26, 2010 11:20 PM (WNcvq)
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No reason to rush yet. It doesn't matter if she finishes tonight, tomorrow, or Wednesday at 9pm. There'll be no difference in the legal effect of the ruling (though there may be some...interesting, shall we say, impacts on the appeals posture) so long as it comes before Thursday.
Moreover, she's going to want to get this right. Whichever way she decides is guaranteed to be appealed and guaranteed to be picked over by pretty much everyone in the country. So, it's not something she'll be eager to mess up.
She worked over the weekend, that's for sure, and her clerk did to. Probably polishing the thing now. Keep in mind that she has other things on her docket that can't just be shoved aside.
Posted by: Gabriel Malor at July 26, 2010 11:46 PM (1TvCg)
4Keep in mind that she has other things on her docket that can't just be shoved aside.
Psshah, I say! I want answers now.
Well you guys are the lawyers so I'll defer to your expertise, I just get a little worried given the string of stupid reasoning in legal opinions that has been evident the past few years.
Posted by: chad98036 at July 27, 2010 12:15 AM (WNcvq)
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I think she is desparate to find a reason for an injuction but has not found it yet. If she was ideologically disposed she would have issued it. Or it could be the issue is complex and she is being honest in dealing with it and trying to write a error proof order either way. Or she is delaying the injuction for maximum political effect.
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I see many phone brickings in the immediate future
Apparently the Library of Congress has seen fit to exempt rooting your phone from the DMCA. I'm not convinced that this means that it's OK in the eyes of the cell provider to do this - Verizon, for example, has maintained that rooting your phone is a warranty violation, and I think the feds don't really have the legal standing to interfere in a service contract that two parties have agreed to.
So would someone with some legal background care to weigh in on this?
(And yes, I'm aware I've sold my soul for a shiny gadget. Feel free to give me hell for it.)
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Posted by: ghd rare at November 21, 2011 01:05 AM (yGvM+)
I think I'm calling bearshit on this oneI don't think bears steal stereos. The rest of it I could buy, but I just don't know what sort of tunes a bear would jam to.
And as long as I'm here, I'm going to offer a few tips for Rocky Mountain National Park tourons, all stemming from our visit yesterday.
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Alice, I think this is the best advice on National Parks that I have ever read. Thanks for sharing. You sound very experienced, and your experience helps us.
Posted by: TimothyJ at July 24, 2010 02:17 PM (btj5a)
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Has anyone heard anything about ATC's BFF? I read that she took a turn for the worse.
Posted by: Dr Spank at July 24, 2010 03:05 PM (xO+6C)
3Has anyone heard anything about ATC's BFF? I read that she took a turn for the worse.
She died this morning at 9:15. She was home like she wanted and she had a peaceful night before that. Thank you so much for your concern.
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Sad to hear it Alex, my sincere condolences to you, her family and friends.
Posted by: Dr Spank at July 24, 2010 04:33 PM (xO+6C)
Speaking as a Colorado resident, I would very much like it if the rest of you stayed home. Really- nothing to see here.
Look over there! It's Kansas!
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Funny thing is, Jones, that everyone on TRR that I saw committing these infractions had out-of-state or rental tags. I'm not from Colorado originally, but if you're here for really any length of time you can't help but learn basic park etiquette.
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Anybody Know How To Build An Ark?
Because Milwaukee just received some wrath and the damage is significant. This is the third time in three years. WTF is wrong with Wisconsin?
I've been waiting for them to sweep through here, but no go.
Perhaps it's the wrath of Ieshuh and April Griffin.
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John Stossel comes out against the Arizona Immigration Law and for Comprehensive Immigration Reform
Today on Neil Cavuto(this is the best transcript I can find so far. Stossel starts at 00:22:0
No one else has picked up on this; I’m surprised because normally John Stossel's word is treated like Holy Writ, but if this is actually his position I expect him to be relegated to the idiot file soon. Immigration reform is currently one of those areas where there is no middle ground.
(Note: This was a three minute interview on Cavuto's show this afternoon. Stossel has a special on immigration tonight that should provide more context to his remarks, but they seem pretty unequivocal)
As I have said a number of times at my blog and over at Ace's when I have open blogged, I basically agree with what Stossel is saying. My basic premise is that illegal immigration is an economic problem and my solution to it would focus on handling it through the market. That said I always have qualms about guest worker programs, which Stossel advocates, in every country that I am aware of that has a guest worker program the guest workers evolve into a permanent underclass. I would much rather allow workers to qualify for permanent residence / citizenship, after X years and costing X dollars (to cover some costs of schooling etc. for dependents).
I know these ideas won't be popular but I still think it's the best way to proceed.
1
I'm looking for a chart I saw earlier today. Basically refuting the concept of "guest workers." that shows that next to none of those who come across the border, every go across it the other way, I can't remember where I saw it, it was a long article, so should have been able to spot it immediately, but I can't find it.
Let the market rule the NATURE of visa's, but that isn't an excuse to ignore the requirement of legal effort on an individuals part to obey the law.
Posted by: Douglas at July 22, 2010 08:34 PM (uU+Ss)
I'm just a caveman. I was hunting one day and fell into a crevasse and was frozen; years later your scientists thawed me out and made me a network technician. Your modern world frightens and confuses me, but I do know this: the United States is a sovereign nation with internationally recognized borders, and it is the constitutional duty of the federal government to secure those borders. This is not the case in this foul Year of Our Lord two thousand and ten. Let's solve that crisis first, then worry about 'guest workers' and market solutions.
Boolah boolah.
Posted by: jONES at July 22, 2010 11:02 PM (kKjaJ)
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After being called a racist by the left for opposing "immigration reform", I'm now against all immigration. Liberals keep crying about the Earth being overpopulated but basically support open borders. Why should we subsidize other countries inability to take care of their citizens when Gaia is dying?
Posted by: Dr Spank at July 23, 2010 12:53 AM (xO+6C)
5
I don't think this is really all that surprising. Stossel is a libertarian (I don't know if that's "big-L" or not), and I've heard several libertarians argue that any workers should be able to trade their skills or services for whatever wages employers are willing to pay, regardless of the workers' legal status.
I disagree with that stance, but I think that's where he's coming from.
Posted by: Sean M. at July 23, 2010 01:36 AM (Zd8a3)
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I have a novel idea. Let's 1) seal our borders--I mean really SEAL them (think of all the jobs created) so nobody can get in that we don't allow in, 2) deport every illegal we find--people like to ask how we can deport twenty million people and my answer is "one at a time, baby", 3) come down hard--REALLY hard--on businesses that employ them, and 4) deny all social services to non-citizens. A simple idea that only sounds complicated if you're paying lip service to solving the illegal immigration problem.
Posted by: Laura Castellano at July 23, 2010 11:52 AM (fuw6p)
I can't believe I'm disagreeing with Stossel, but a couple of thoughts:
I basically agree with Jones. The immigration debate has two components: control of the borders, and reform of immigration law. It's disingenuous to argue against cracking down on illegal immigration simply because one believe legal immigration is too restricted. There are plenty of us who would be happy to open up a dialogue regarding letting more people in legally, but believe it's a moot point, or worse an exercize in futility, to talk about it before we secure our borders as much as possible against those who would bypass our laws. The phrase "Tall Fences, Wide Gates" has arisen for a reason.
Secondly, and this ties in closely to my first point, any discussion of immigration reform that talks about market forces HAS to acknowledge that there are two major factors that conspire together to skew the market artificially: Porous borders and restrictive labor laws (particularly minimum wage). I've lived in Western states all my life, and I know at least a little about the way illegals have been used, at least over the last 20 years. Plenty of them work for far less than minimum wage, in pretty miserable conditions -- conditions that are often in violation of labor laws. The fact that the workers are here illegally means they're far less likely to report or complain about such conditions, because A) the conditions are still better than they are back home, and B) any close attention by authorities is likely to result in their deportation. It's a lot easier for unscrupulous employers to go that route than hire Americans and have to maintain workplace and wage standards. As long as we have strict but unenforced immigration laws (The current model), that's the labor market model created by the situation: two different sets of workers, each with a different set of constraints that hinders one group from competing on an even footing with the other, and hinders the other from demanding as much for their services as the one.
I'm willing to bet that if steps were taken to secure the border, so that illegal immigration was reduced to a trickle, and subsequently loosened immigration laws, so that more immigrants were allowed in legally, but had to compete with American workers on an even footing WRT labor conditions, taxes, wages, etc., the equilibrium would be somewhere other than where it is now.
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Sorry, that last comment is an incomplete thought. What I mean is, I'm sure that there would still be jobs for which immigrants would out-compete Americans, but I doubt it would be as many, if there weren't illegals to be exploited.
national sovereignty trumps the rights of mexicans to swarm over our border and sell their skills, whether those skills be trafficking drugs, cutting off policemen's heads, or selling teenage girls into slavery
at least it does when I become the amazing colossal super president
I'd cut him if he stands, and I'd shoot him if he'd run Yes I'd kill him with my Bible and my razor and my gun
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Posted by: ghd rare at November 21, 2011 01:05 AM (yGvM+)
I Done Got Hitched
Yes, I haven't been posting a lot lately but I've got tons of good reasons.
1) Super secret project 1. 2) The political season is about to really kick into high gear and I'm saving some of my facecocks and mojo for that. 3) I got married to my lovely wife Rachel on July 5th which means that I've been involved in supporting her plan it for several months.
At any rate, it was suggested that I share our registry with the general community in case anyone felt like being generous so, I will do so.
Posted by: Alice H at July 20, 2010 07:58 PM (qJHYy)
3
Hey, its not a football! Besides, if I could get CJ for my wedding I could lock him in the basement without internet access and save us all a lot of bullshit.
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Srsly, you don't want it. We had one for years, broke it out maybe five times - all the stains we had either fell into the 'small enough for Spot Shot' or 'big enough that we need to break out the steam cleaner' categories. Not much in between.
Posted by: Alice H at July 20, 2010 08:38 PM (qJHYy)
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Congrats MP. I think a couple certain ex-Congressmen deserve a facecocking or two.
Posted by: steveegg at July 20, 2010 09:03 PM (obXYX)
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Posted by: alexthechick at July 20, 2010 09:04 PM (AnZTG)
Posted by: Douglas at July 20, 2010 09:28 PM (uU+Ss)
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Congratulations. I hope you crazy kids did it all classy-like and got the Elvis package at the Graceland Wedding Chapel. I married all my ex-wives there.
Posted by: Dr Spank at July 20, 2010 09:32 PM (xO+6C)
I see you too have now fallen prey to the Dresden files. How far along are you? It's really good stuff, I've gotten at least half-a-dozen people hooked on that series as well.
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This may be the lowest-production music video ever
Yes, I have a reason for inflicting this on all three of our readers. The Tottenham Spurs (not that any of you classless soccer-hating fucks have any reason to know who they are) have banned the vuvuzela.
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know who they are)". Other than the fact that they play my Gunners in 2 London Derbies a year, you're right. As do Chelsea and Fulham.
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Posted by: ghd rare at November 21, 2011 01:06 AM (yGvM+)
Meet my man-crush
Seriously, someone needs to put Isaiah Mustafa in a full-length movie so I can drool and stare for a couple of hours. A full-length movie where he's shirtless most of the time. Doesn't have to be all the time, because there's that nice "Oh, he took his shirt off!" feeling when a hottie disrobes.
I wasn't going to post on this, but his response to Starbucks is too awesome to not put up.
Sarah K. has an entire collection of the videos of the future Mr. H (I am allowed to have two Mr. H's if one of them is Isaiah Mustafa, aren't I?). If you drop in for a visit over there, watch your language - she is a lady and doesn't cotton to the fuckity-fuck language we use in our house.
And just in case you're one of the three people on the planet who's never seen the original commercial...
One of our commenters posted the original commercial on her site not too long ago, and for the life of me I can't remember who it was. So speak up so I can give you some linkylove!
Update: I have to post one more video, proving Mr. Mustafa's superawesomeexcellence. How can you fail to fall for a man who understands baconlove?
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I was kinda sick, and couldn't visit my nephews on sunday. Bro and I were supposed to go to the driving range after he came back from the city (That is a funny story, but if I tell it, it will be at AMA)
So when I started to feel better, wrapped in "throws" even though it was 90 odd degree's, I sat down and I watched ALL off the old spice responses.
BEST NET CAMPAIGN EVER!
The original (which I offered to Dpud and mike and ace, the day after in link) is one of the best commercials ever.
Though I think the binky commercial is pure genious.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyyii8cypFw
My favorite, "It's neither cuddly, nor wuddelly"
I think the best writing on television is for commercials.
Posted by: Douglas at July 20, 2010 02:22 AM (uU+Ss)
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I also like the response he gave to himself, cuz he leaves character.
I thought that was pretty funny.
Posted by: Douglas at July 20, 2010 02:44 AM (uU+Ss)
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The World's Most Interesting Man wishes he was the Old Spice guy.
I have a serious man-crush on him. I actually thought about turning gay for him but I think Old Spice smells terrible so that would be a turn off. Well, that and the dick.
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Posted by: ghd rare at November 21, 2011 01:06 AM (yGvM+)
Sadly, there are a few out there
So, was out of state for the weekend, during my drive out I stopped for gas, a soda and to take a leak at a gas station, the place had one or two small tables and you could buy sandwiches there.
Anyway, heading to the bathroom to take a leak, been driving for a few hours and had to seriously friggin' go, and there's two guys sitting eating lunch. One's got a paper open and, poking the paper with his finger and ranting to the other guy, "Look at these fuckin' idiots running our country, and don't even get me started on that fuckin' (says loudly) N*GGER in the White House!" No, I didn't light into him for his racist douchebaggery, I had other, more important things to do, like take a piss. Here's the thing, though, this guy sounded EXACTLY like Nick the shopkeeper in Falling Down.
It tookeverything, and I mean everything I had not to stop, lean over the table, point to my head and evoke Nick's "Think about it!" verbal tic.
If you're unfamiliar with Falling Down, it's worth renting or sitting and watching if it's on TV, here are the relevant scenes, if you need a refresher,
1
There are a LOT of them. I think most of them are just people raised in a way that allowed the use of that term as a perjorative without being directly racist (yes, it's possible) I think those verbal ticks should be corrected, but there is a difference between poor upbringing and being a racist.
When I was in Oki, the term "Dink" was so commonplace, that even I found myself using it sometimes, even though I essentially lived in town with a japanese girl, shopping at japanese stores (when I didn't feel like making a run back to base) and visiting with my friends, some of whom were japanese to plan out our weekends.
The ubiquitous use of the term made it acceptable in a sarcastic sense, I don't think anyone used it aggressively, just sort of a sarcastic jab at someone else, like how I would call one of my best friends (who is part jewish) "scorch" or how that same friend would call me (I'm german/italian) "Axis."
A Word doesn't make a person racist, an Idea does.
Posted by: Douglas at July 19, 2010 11:55 AM (uU+Ss)
2
Nah, in this case I think the guy really was a racist shit, he really emphasized the slur, kinda in a "I fucking dare someone to call me on it" kinda thing.
3
okay, I was just making the distinction, truly racist fucks can go fuck themselves.
I think most of you know something of me, I'm not a racist, and racists piss me off. Some of my coworkers, and one in particular was a real dick about it. Guy outweighed me by a hundred pounds, but he would spout "nigger" like it was a comma, In the middle of a shop filled with black people, and I had to constantly correct him (nice guy other than his racism, I know, that sounds weird, but you have to look for the good in people.) "NOT NEAR ME! DAN!"
At 6'1 and a relatively fit 220 (at the time, I've lost too much weight since) This guy was 6'5 and about 300, and almost all muscle (he was a juicer after an assbeating he got in his early twenties) You would see a group of friends turn into enemies, and then everyone apologizing.
A shame we have to work so hard to get that ignorance out of the minds of adults.
Posted by: Douglas at July 19, 2010 01:29 PM (uU+Ss)
4
I would have to go through a significant internal struggle if someone directly challenged me or the environment to challenge them on their ignorance.
I remember watching "Mississippi Burning." when I was a kid, and the line that stands out for me is "If you can't be better than a nigger, than . . . .(whatever the rest of the line is.)"
The Dehumanization that Genes character created of his own father, was rather profound for me, cuz it's something completely alien to my understanding, and with my own history, and that phrase in mind, and some dipshit saying something like that, would likely set me off.
I stopped talking to my own father (who I love) for about a year, when he went off on a racist rant. After he shut up, I said something like "I don't like you anymore dad, and when you figure out why, I will answer your calls."
Posted by: Douglas at July 19, 2010 01:42 PM (uU+Ss)
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I will always know that Deep Creek Lake is in Garrett (sp?) County.
My friend's brother had a "cabin" on the lake, we went for a weekend in September and were in a bar on the lake, we boated to it, watching MNF between the Foreskins and the Cowboys (my friends were all from DC). A girl started "shushing" her boyfriend when he responded, very loudly, emphatically and positively: "Don't shush me, you can say nigger loud as you want anywhar in Garrett County"
I didn't put the emphasis on "anywhar", he did. We all cheered him, not in agreement but in a, "You go idiot" way, he said to his girlfriend, "See?"
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Posted by: ghd rare at November 21, 2011 01:06 AM (yGvM+)
Most of the readers here will probably disagree with the narrative / ideology of the speaker but the talk itself is interesting, especially since it was given contemporaneously, Jan 2009 I think (actually Nov 200. (Be warned, the facial tic is disturbing)
Causes according to Dr. Blinder:
Risky lending - based on abnormally low default rates over the past 5 to 6 years (from 2003 to 2009). This was backed up by mathematical models that didn't look back far enough also.
Housing bubble - Irresponsible mortgage lending and irresponsible taking of mortgages by consumers. Refinancing ponzi scheme, liar loans, no-doc loans, ninja loans (no income no job or assets). Brokers made risky loans because they would only hold the loans for a short time and then they would be passed on so any defaults would be someonelse's problem. Blinder believes that mortgages should be federally regulated, he also believes there should be a suitability standard, and that brokers should have to hold some percentage of loans they originate to maturity.
Regulatory failure - specifically failure to rein in subprime lending.
Mortgage backed securities - as noted above the mortgages were bad so the securities were bad. When the defaults started the banks held huge amounts of debt. This was caused by bad risk management practices including poor diversification of capital classes (up to 80% in mortgage backed securities).
Rating agencies - didn't do their due diligence. Conflicts of interest exist because the agencies are paid by the bond issuer. He also advocates a bit of Caveat Emptor in that the lage firms should do some of their own investigation and rating.
Derivatives based on mortgage backed securities - unregulated and excessively leveraged. Very short term financing which led to a lack of liquidity when defaults started. (AIG) An attempt was made to regulate these derivatives and it failed. I personally don't know if this would have made a difference but maybe enforcing some liquidity requirements and limiting leverage would have.
George Bush - Of course it had to be George Bush's fault. My memory of events is different that Dr. Blinder's but I am not the one giving the lecture.
The Lehman Brothers failure - destroyed confidence in the financial system.
During the question and answer session it becomes very clear that Blinder was not a fan of TARP or the auto industry bailout. He also disputes the idea that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had a large role to play in the sub-prime crisis. I can’t find anything to dispute him but I specifically remember in 2008 / 2009 large numbers of Fannie / Freddie mortgages being defaulted on and it being pointed out that they held huge numbers of subprime mortgages.
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I'm new-ish, so I don't know where other commenters stand. But, off the top of my head, I can think of a couple of areas where he's wrong.
First, regulating subprime mortgages. Those are the result of regulation, for federal mandates related to minority and "community" banking. The government couldn't reign in something they were telling people to do and do more of.
The housing bubble was the result of bad monetary and credit policies, not the cause of it. Housing prices skyrocketed because demand skyrocketed. Any limited supply will increase in cost to meet demand. That's econ 101. The spike in supply (overbuilding) is what ultimately led to the bubble bursting. That, and the first tidal wave of ARM resets in spring 2008. (That was the 3-year resets from the peak selling time of spring 2005. The next tidal wave is the 5-year resets ... that was this summer! "Double dip" my eye. This was way foreseeable.)
Second, low interest rates made money very cheap. In essence, the Fed devalued money in order to make it more appealing for people to spend instead of save. That fed the bubble, but it wasn't only in housing. It was in cars, credit cards, personal debt, new business growth, luxury items (e.g., eating out and expensive trips), college tuition, and also housing.
This guy reminds me of Megan McArdle: not so much in philosophy, but in having a vague idea of the issues, then blathering on endlessly, demonstrating that his grasp of finance doesn't go beyond 'vague'.
The 800 pound gorilla is TBTF (too big to fail), and the associated crony capitalism / political-financial oligarchy. This guy is still feeling around at the trees, looking for a forest.
Posted by: Hermit Dave at July 17, 2010 10:16 PM (HSn53)
To say that CRA mortgages are not guilty is to say that a blod clot that leads to a brain embolism is not guilty. OK, that's a truly terrible metaphor ....
One has to disregard the effect of competition to completely absolve the effects of the CRA. If Walmart lowers their prices, driving margins down, one imagines that Target will do the same, or risk losing too much business. To get the full effect, one has to not only account for actual CRA-compliant loans, but estimate how many other loans were made in an attempt to compete with the CRA-compliant institutions. To claim that the CRA was the entirety of the issue would be foolish (I agree that excessive liquidity was/is a bigger issue, although there is some interplay), but it was certainly a factor.
Finally, citing the Fed (and to a lesser extent the FDIC) on anything related to the current financial debacle is a grave error. This is an institution that breaks laws, lies, obfuscates and otherwise acts against the interests of the average American to an astounding degree. Even assuming I accept the basic numbers as cited here, the amount of obfuscation is spectacular.
Posted by: Hermit Dave at July 17, 2010 11:27 PM (HSn53)
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Dr. Blinder can't be trusted. He conveniently left The Jews off his list of prime causes of this disaster. I guess they got to him.
Posted by: Dr Spank at July 18, 2010 01:38 AM (xO+6C)
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As Hermit Dave notes, the CRA was kind of the first crack in the dam. Prior to that, most of these risky loans would never have been considered. And as Ella notes, it is hard for the government to prohibit that which they promote.
Also, there was the classic "new market" problem, in which far too many loans were made in this high risk market due to the potential for great returns, resulting in carrying a higher risk. This is hardly the exclusive sphere of the banking industry. Look at the internet bubble and wonderful companies like Pets.com.
Posted by: XBradTC at July 18, 2010 08:27 AM (W6plW)
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Hmm, with the deleted comments, my previous comment is kind of out of context, but since it includes a good anti-Fed rant, I suppose it can stand on its own.
Posted by: Hermit Dave at July 18, 2010 01:14 PM (HSn53)
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