September 10, 2008

See, I told you so

I told you Obama would struggle in PA.  People aren't buying his New Left BS, and that includes a good number of the blue-collar Democrats.  Obama is still up by 2, but he's been hemorrhaging support here, and I'm betting that if the McCain campaign is willing to put the time in, they can take the state.  If nothing else, Obama would be forced to shift resources to a state he thought he would hold a few months ago.  Another thing to consider is that historically, Democrats don't win without PA.  If Obama were to win without PA, he'd be the first Democrat to do it since Truman. 

The reason Obama's struggling and I think McCain can take the state is because Obama is of the New Left.  I've written about this before, Pennsylvanians are decidedly not of the New Left outside of Philly and its suburbs, parts of Pittsburgh and some other pockets.  Most of the rest of the Democrats here are older style Democrats, they are religious, often Catholic, pro-life, they hunt, fish and like shooting, and they are traditionalist, culturally speaking.  Many of them are blue-collar and work in failing industries or industries being outsourced. 

These voters have to decide in every election if the left's threat to their culture or the right's threat to their wallet(from their perspective) is the bigger threat.  Obama's solidly New Left record on cultural issues made him suspect in many of their eyes.  The "bitter" comments confirmed that. 

Obama did eventually see his numbers climb back up after he defeated Hillary, but I think that can be attributed to ambivalence.  These voters vote Democrat first, so when they go to neutral in their favorability, they're gonna support the Democrat by default. 

Sarah Palin was a gamechanger, I believe.  She doesn't just mouth support and platitudes to their lifestyle, she actively lives it, and her presence is going to be a constant reminder that Obama and Biden are culturally hostile.  The sneering and condescending reaction from the elite of the Democrat establishment, talking heads, media and nutroots is just driving that wedge deeper, and I think these polls are showing the damage being caused by this.  Should get interesting.  Beyond that, Obama's weakness in the state may help people like Lou Barletta and Chris Hackett, who are both trying to take Democrats seats.

Posted by: doubleplusundead at 06:02 PM | Comments (5) | Add Comment
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